After the first 3 games Smerdon holds a 2-1 lead. Prior to the match he asked people to predict the likely outcome, and mine was a 4.5-1.5 wind to David. My reasoning for this was that David was likely to lose a game early on, and then change his strategy so it didn't happen again.
It turned out that David actually lost the first game, missing a 'short' tactic, and then getting outplayed in a materially equal position. Bouncing back from that, David then played more cautiously, and simply ground down the engine in the next two games.
The match continues tomorrow, starting at 10am Canberra time. One of the best places to watch the match is at https://www.twitch.tv/mironiusvulgaris which has commentary by GM Evgenij Miroshnichenko and Canberra's own IM Andras Toth.
PlayKomodo (2960) - smurfo (2528) [C00]
Live Chess - Odds Chess Chess.com, 11.04.2020
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